Airbnb Beats Revenue Forecast in Q4 2025 Earnings, Misses EPS Estimate

ABNB
February 13, 2026

Airbnb Inc. reported fourth‑quarter 2025 results that included a $2.78 billion revenue figure, up 12% year‑over‑year, beating the consensus estimate of $2.71‑$2.72 billion. Earnings per share came in at $0.56, falling short of the $0.66 consensus by $0.10. The company’s Q4 2024 revenue was $2.5 billion and EPS was $0.73, indicating a decline in profitability despite top‑line growth.

Gross booking value reached $20.4 billion, a 16% increase from the same quarter a year earlier, while nights and seats booked rose 10% year‑over‑year. The growth was largely driven by the “Reserve Now, Pay Later” feature and AI‑enhanced search, which together added more than 500 basis points to GBV growth. Strong performance was reported in Brazil, Japan, and India, underscoring the company’s expanding global footprint.

Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted from 31% in Q4 2024 to 28% in Q4 2025. The compression was attributed to heavy investment in new services, AI initiatives, and a $90 million tax charge, illustrating short‑term pressure on profitability while the company pursues long‑term growth opportunities.

For the first quarter of 2026, Airbnb guided revenue between $2.59 billion and $2.63 billion, representing a 14%‑16% year‑over‑year increase. The company reiterated its outlook for low‑double‑digit revenue growth for the full year 2026, signaling confidence in sustained demand and the effectiveness of its AI‑first transformation and product innovation strategy.

Market reaction to the earnings was mixed. Deutsche Bank upgraded Airbnb from Hold to Buy and raised its price target to $154, citing the revenue beat, strong GBV growth, and optimistic guidance as key drivers. The EPS miss was noted but was outweighed by the positive narrative around demand and AI‑driven initiatives.

The results illustrate a company that is successfully expanding its top line through product innovation while managing the cost of scaling. The revenue beat confirms robust demand, the EPS miss and margin compression highlight the impact of strategic investments, and the forward guidance reflects management’s confidence in continued growth and the long‑term value of its AI‑first platform.

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