Harley‑Davidson Reports Q4 2025 Loss, Full‑Year 2025 Operating Income, and 2026 Guidance

HOG
February 11, 2026

Harley‑Davidson Inc. reported a consolidated revenue of $496 million for the fourth quarter of 2025, a 28 % decline from the $656 million earned in the same period a year earlier. The quarter ended in a $361 million operating loss, compared with a $193 million loss in Q4 2024, and an earnings‑per‑share loss of $2.44 versus the consensus estimate of $‑0.92, a miss of more than 130 %. For the full year, the company generated $4.47 billion in revenue, down 14 % from $5.15 billion in 2024, and posted a consolidated operating income of $387 million, a turnaround from the $279 million loss reported in 2024.

The operating loss in the motorcycle division (HDMC) was $29 million for 2025, a sharp improvement from the $278 million loss in 2024, but still a loss that reflects ongoing volume and pricing pressure. In contrast, the financial services segment (HDFS) delivered a record $490 million operating income, up from $248 million in 2024, driven by a favorable credit‑loss provision and new servicing‑fee streams that offset one‑time liability‑management costs of $73 million incurred in Q4. LiveWire, Harley‑Davidson’s electric‑motorcycle unit, posted a $12 million operating loss, a modest improvement from the $20 million loss in the prior year, as the company continues to invest in product development and market penetration.

Margin compression across the company was driven by a combination of higher tariff costs, lower sales volumes, and a shift toward lower‑margin touring models. The company’s gross margin fell to 18 % from 20 % in 2024, while the operating margin slipped to 8.5 % from 10.2 %. The decline in gross margin was largely due to a 12 % increase in raw‑material costs and a 4 % drop in average selling price, while the operating margin erosion was amplified by a 6 % increase in marketing and dealer‑incentive spend aimed at reducing inventory levels.

Harley‑Davidson’s 2026 outlook remains cautious. Management guided for a full‑year operating income of $40 million loss to $10 million profit, a range that reflects uncertainty in global demand and tariff exposure. Revenue guidance for 2026 is projected at $4.40 billion to $4.45 billion, a 2–3 % decline from 2025, and the company reiterated its plan to unveil a comprehensive strategic roadmap in May. The guidance signals that the company is treating 2026 as a transition year, focusing on inventory reduction, cost discipline, and the execution of its new strategy.

Management emphasized the need to stabilize the motorcycle business while capitalizing on the momentum in HDFS. President and CEO Artie Starrs said, “We are taking deliberate actions to stabilize the business, restore dealer confidence, and align wholesale activity with retail demand.” CFO Jonathan Root added that the company’s “transition year” approach is designed to position Harley‑Davidson for long‑term earnings and cash‑flow growth once the strategic plan is in place. Analysts noted that the EPS miss and the narrow 2026 operating‑income range were the primary drivers of the market’s muted reaction, underscoring investor concern about the core motorcycle segment’s profitability.

The results highlight a company in the midst of a significant restructuring. While HDFS provides a strong, high‑margin revenue stream, the motorcycle division remains under pressure from tariffs, declining global sales, and inventory overhang. The company’s focus on dealer inventory reduction and the upcoming strategic plan are key tailwinds that could improve long‑term profitability, but the current headwinds suggest that the transition will be challenging and that investors will closely monitor the execution of the May roadmap.

The content on EveryTicker is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. We are not financial advisors. Consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. Any actions you take based on information from this site are solely at your own risk.