International Paper Reports 2025 Full‑Year Loss and Q4 Earnings Miss; Guidance for 2026 Maintained

IP
January 30, 2026

International Paper reported a full‑year 2025 net loss of $2.84 billion, a diluted loss per share of $5.61, and adjusted EBITDA of $2.98 billion—up from a $557 million profit and $1.64 billion adjusted EBITDA in 2024. The loss was driven largely by a $2.47 billion pre‑tax goodwill impairment related to its Packaging Solutions EMEA business, accelerated depreciation, and restructuring charges associated with the DS Smith integration.

In the fourth quarter, revenue rose 31.1% year‑over‑year to $6.01 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $5.88 billion. However, adjusted operating earnings fell to a loss of $0.08 per share versus the $0.27 estimate, a miss of $0.35 per share. The miss was largely attributable to the one‑time goodwill impairment and weaker industrial demand in the EMEA region, which offset the strong revenue growth.

Segment performance highlighted a divergent picture. North America generated $3.5 billion in revenue and delivered a 37% year‑over‑year increase in adjusted EBITDA, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiencies. In contrast, EMEA revenue of $2.5 billion saw a 15% decline in adjusted EBITDA, driven by the goodwill impairment and softer demand for packaging solutions in Europe.

Management maintained its 2026 guidance, projecting full‑year adjusted EBITDA of $3.5‑$3.7 billion and first‑quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $740‑$760 million. The company emphasized continued focus on its 80/20 strategy and the planned separation of its North American and EMEA packaging businesses, which it believes will unlock value by allowing each region to pursue tailored growth and cost‑control initiatives.

The market reacted negatively, with the stock falling 7.25% in regular trading. Analysts cited the EPS miss, the sizable goodwill impairment, and the ambitious 2026 guidance as primary concerns. Despite the revenue beat, the earnings miss and one‑time charges weighed heavily on investor sentiment.

"Throughout 2025, we made significant progress executing our profitable growth strategy," said Chairman and CEO Andy Silvernail. "By deploying and embedding 80/20, we focused resources where we can win and built two regional packaging powerhouses. We remain confident in our 2026 targets and the value that the separation will unlock."

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