FiscalNote Holdings, a provider of policy‑intelligence software, has unveiled a preview of a new political prediction market platform, PoliticalPredictions.com, and announced a strategic partnership with 365Prediction, a prediction‑market technology firm founded by Dr. Laila Mintas.
The partnership will combine FiscalNote’s policy‑focused data sets and AI capabilities with 365Prediction’s market‑design expertise. 365Prediction will supply the backend market infrastructure, while FiscalNote will provide policy intelligence and regulatory data to power the predictions. Dr. Mintas, who serves as a strategic advisor to FiscalNote, will help shape the platform’s design and regulatory compliance.
The move positions FiscalNote in a rapidly expanding prediction‑market segment, where monthly trading volumes grew from under $100 million in early 2024 to more than $13 billion by the end of 2025. By offering data‑driven, outcome‑based forecasting for political and policy events, FiscalNote aims to capture a growing audience of consumers seeking actionable insights beyond traditional analysis.
FiscalNote’s recent financial results show a decline in revenue driven by divestitures of non‑core businesses such as Board.org and Aicel, with Q4 2024 revenue at $29.5 million and adjusted EBITDA of $3.3 million. The company’s full‑year 2024 revenue of $120.3 million fell from $132.6 million the previous year, while Q3 2025 revenue of $22.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $2.2 million reflect ongoing cost‑saving measures and a focus on operational efficiency. The new prediction‑market platform is intended to diversify revenue streams and offset the impact of these divestitures.
Josh Resnik, President & CEO, said, "As public interest in politics and policy decisions accelerates, this category is poised to reshape how political insight is formed, shared, and acted upon, extending well beyond traditional audiences." He added, "With this expansion into prediction markets, FiscalNote is positioning itself to define this space over time, bringing its policy intelligence, data sets, and expertise into a category that is still taking shape." Dr. Mintas added, "I'm excited to support FiscalNote as it enters this compelling new market. Prediction markets require careful design, credible data, and thoughtful regulatory considerations."
Investors reacted cautiously, citing recent negative performance and ongoing financial pressures, but the announcement signals FiscalNote’s intent to broaden its product portfolio and tap a high‑growth market.
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