S&P Global Reports Q4 2025 Results: Revenue Up 9%, EPS Misses Consensus, 2026 Guidance Below Expectations

SPGI
February 10, 2026

S&P Global Inc. reported fourth‑quarter and full‑year 2025 results on February 10 2026, posting revenue of $3.92 billion—up 9 % from $3.59 billion in Q4 2024—and an adjusted earnings‑per‑share of $4.30, slightly below the consensus estimate of $4.32. The revenue beat was driven by a 14.2 % year‑over‑year rise in the Indices segment to $498 million, an 11.8 % increase in Ratings to $1.19 billion, a 6.6 % growth in Market Intelligence to $1.26 billion, and an 8 % gain in Mobility to $444 million. These gains offset modest pressure in legacy data services, keeping the overall mix favorable.

The adjusted EPS fell short of expectations by $0.02, a miss of 0.46 %. The shortfall stemmed from a 0.5 % decline in operating margin, largely due to higher cost of sales in the Ratings business and a one‑time restructuring charge related to the divestiture of the Enterprise Data Management unit. While revenue growth was strong, the mix shift toward lower‑margin Mobility and the cost impact of the divestiture compressed profitability, preventing an EPS beat.

Management guided for 2026 adjusted EPS of $19.40 to $19.65, below the consensus range of $19.96, and full‑year revenue of $16.3 billion to $16.7 billion, slightly under the consensus of $16.5 billion. The downward revision signals management’s caution about near‑term demand softness in the Ratings segment and the impact of competitive pricing in the data‑services market. The guidance also reflects a planned acceleration of the With Intelligence acquisition, expected to close early in 2026, which will add $1.8 billion in incremental revenue but also increase short‑term capital expenditures.

CEO Martina Cheung said the quarter was “strong across all divisions, with momentum in private markets and expansion with our CCO clients.” She added that the company’s “Advancing Essential Intelligence” strategy, underpinned by AI‑enabled products, will continue to drive growth, but that the firm remains focused on disciplined cost management and selective investment in high‑margin verticals.

The market reacted negatively to the guidance, with investors expressing concern over the lower 2026 EPS outlook and the weaker Ratings segment forecast. Analysts noted that the modest EPS miss, combined with the guidance shortfall, outweighed the revenue beat and led to a sharp decline in investor confidence. The company’s ongoing acquisition of With Intelligence and the planned spin‑off of Mobility are viewed as long‑term growth drivers, but the immediate outlook remains cautious.

S&P Global’s capital‑return program remains robust, with a $2.5 billion share‑repurchase plan for the year and a commitment to return at least 85 % of adjusted free cash flow to shareholders. The firm’s dividend has increased for 53 consecutive years, underscoring its long‑term commitment to shareholder value.

S&P Global’s Q4 2025 results underscore the company’s resilience in core data and analytics markets while highlighting the challenges of maintaining margin expansion amid competitive pricing and strategic investments. The guidance signals a more conservative outlook for 2026, reflecting management’s focus on sustaining profitability in a tightening market environment.

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